AUSTRALIAN OPEN VIP TIP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Alexander Bublik

Details:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is ranked at no. 32 on the ATP rankings with his career-high being five spots higher.

The 23-year-old Spaniard is 2-1 this season. He played at Adelaide 2 tournament to open the season where he defeated Brandon Nakashima and John Millman before losing in straight sets to Roberto Bautista-Agut.

This will be his fourth appearance at the Australian Open and he has never gone past the second round.

Alexander Bublik is ranked at no. 36 at the moment with a career-high at no. 30.

The 25-year-old Kazak has lost all three matches to open the season. At the United Cup, he lost to Stan Wawrinka and Hubert Hurkacz and in Auckland to David Goffin.

Bublik is going to play in his seventh Australian Open reaching the second round three times before.

Key facts

• Bublik leads 1-0 against Davidovich Fokina
• They played in Barcelona in 2021 with Bublik winning 2-1 (2-6, 7-5, 6-2)
• Fokina is four places higher than Bublik in the ATP rankings
• Bublik is two years older than Fokina

The first round of the Australian Open has 64 matches in each category and most of them are really hard to predict. That can be said about this one as well. Two youngsters who have huge potential are facing each other hoping to start the season well. They have never made significant success in Melbourne and this may be their chance. Davidovich Fokina started the season much better winning 2 of 3 matches while Bublik has lost all 3. Fokina moves better than Bublik who has a killing serve. Taking all this into consideration, no player has the quality to win this in straight sets. Fokina is a little better but Bublik's serve will keep him in this match and maybe even be enough for a victory. However, the best pick is to play on over 36.5 games which will be easily surpassed if both players win a set and maybe even if someone wins in straight sets.

Value Bet

Alexander Bublik to win and total over 38.5 games

3.70

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