Sport Betting Tip: Liverpool - Burnley, Premier Leauge

Details:

Liverpool’s home run of 38 wins in 42 matches and being unbeaten in 67 at Anfield is difficult to ignore. I fancy them to win and for there to be under 2.5 goals, just as there has been in their last 4 matches

In the last four games, all of which ended without a win, Liverpool have conceded just two goals. At home, only eight goals have slipped into their own goal during the league season. Now they are up against a Burnley that has an extremely difficult time finding the net.

9 hits in total is actually the worst in the entire league and on the road, The Clarets have only conceded four pods in nine attempts. That's not good enough. Burnley are most dangerous in solid situations when they can lift Mee and Tarkowski to help Barnes and Wood in the air. To create chances there, however, the guests have to get past half a plane and there will not be much of that product.

Burnley is most likely going to sit back and park the bus in front of goal, with the hope it can earn a 0-0 stalemate. Given how Liverpool’s attack has been stymied by the type of formation the Clarets play, I think we’re going to see a lower-scoring match than expected.

Since I only have 2.71 goals projected for this match, I think there is some value on the alternative total of under3 goals at even money.

• Liverpool have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 4 matches (English Premier League).

• Burnley have seen under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches (all competitions).

• Burnley have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 away matches (English Premier League).

• Burnley have scored 1 goal in their last 4 away matches (English Premier League).