Milan vs. Spezia Tip

Details:

Milan is having a decent season but is good only for the third place in the Serie A standings at the moment with 26 points. The defending champions have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses with a 25-13 goal differential so far in the season.

On San Siro, Milan has 5 wins and one loss with a 16-7 goal differential. Milan has 4 wins and 1 loss in the last five games overall and is hosting Spezia after a 4-0 home win against Salzburg that secured them a spot in the elimination phase of the Champions League.

Spezia is in 16th place with 9 points which is pretty low record but at least they are not in the relegation zone for now. Spezia has 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses so far in the season with a 10-22 goal differential.

They still haven't scored a goal in 6 road games this season losing all of them and allowing a total of 13 goals.

In the last five games, Spezia has 3 losses, a win and a draw and is traveling to Milano after a 2-1 home loss to Fiorentina.

Key facts

• Davide Calabria, Alessandro Florenzi, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Alexis Saelemaekers will not play for Milan
• Dimitrios Nikolaou, Viktor Kovalenko and Simone Bastoni will not play for Spezia
• Milan has won 3 of the last 5 against Spezia with 2 losses

Milan is a huge favorite in this game and will have an extra motive since Spezia sensationally won last season on San Siro. Milan simply cannot afford another upset like that since they have a six-point deficit compared to leading Napoli and if they do not win today, the chances for defending the title will drop significantly. However, Milan is in great shape coming off a 4-0 blowout win over Salzburg in the Champions league and Spezia will be serve a similar meal today. Milan will dominate the ball possession today and will probably open up the lead early on. Spezia won't be able to do nothing about it and Milan will win this game with -1.5 Asian handicap.

Value Bet

Milan to win by 2-3 goals

2.38

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