RB Leipzig vs. Bayern 20.01.2023 – Bundesliga free pick

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The two CL round of 16 are currently separated by six points. The leader from Munich could at best extend the lead in the central city to nine points. Although coach Julian Nagelsmann's team also has to do without a few potential top performers, Christopher Nkunku's absence is probably even more serious for the home side.

Incidentally, looking at the last clash between the defending champion and the reigning cup winner, it becomes clear why FCB is clearly the favourite. For eight Bundesliga games now, the tip on the Saxons would not have gone through between RB Leipzig and Bayern. Overall, the Messestadt-based team only won one of the twelve league games against the series champions, who could land their tenth (!) competitive win in a row across all competitions on Friday evening.

Rose knows how to beat Bayern

For the upcoming match in front of a home crowd in the Allianz Arena, there is hope that among the current Bundesliga coaches there are only two football coaches, Rose and Svensson, who have already beaten the leader twice.

Apart from that, the impressive home strength must also be cited as a pro argument in favor of the red bulls. Six of the previous seven matches in the Red Bull Arena have been victorious. No other club scored more points in front of their own fans than the people from central town, who also scored a total of 19 goals in front of their home crowd and thus scored almost three times on average per home game.

This is one of the reasons why we are of the opinion that between RB Leipzig and Bayern the odds for over goals should be examined more closely. The Over 3.5, for example, would have paid off in four out of seven home games. In all seven matches in their own stadium, Timo Werner and Co. also scored at least two goals of their own.

How to compensate for the loss of Nkunku?

There shouldn't be a lack of self-confidence either, because just before the World Cup break there were four BL wins in a row. The last defeat at national level came on September 17th with a 3-0 loss to Gladbach.

In terms of personnel, Leipzig, who have not been behind once at home so far this season, have to do without Nkunku, as mentioned. Behind Mbappe, Lewandowski and Kane, the Frenchman was the player with the fourth most goals involved (33) in the top European leagues in the 2022 calendar year. Regular keeper Gulacsi will also continue to be replaced by Blaswich. Otherwise everyone is probably on board, including Konrad Laimer and Lukas Klostermann, who are options for the starting XI again after a long injury.

Expected line-up of RB Leipzig:
Blaswich - Simakan, Orban, Gvardiol, Halstenberg - X. Schlager, Laimer - Szoboszlai, Dani Olmo - Forsberg - Silva

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